Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,191,052$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(2.64 \times 10^{5} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(31.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,129,270.0}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 56.1)}}\) (asimptote \(2,129,270.0\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $118,434$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(1.72 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{114,413.8}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 48.3)}}\) (asimptote \(114,413.8\))
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,473,503$ on 2020-06-18
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $101,877$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(1.33 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{101,146.8}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 54.4)}}\) (asimptote \(101,146.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $8,361$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(920 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,271.3}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 51.7)}}\) (asimptote \(8,271.3\))
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $29,734$ on 2020-06-18
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $165,455$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(3.83 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{253,319.1}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 83.0)}}\) (asimptote \(253,319.1\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $19,747$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(511 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{30,350.8}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 74.7)}}\) (asimptote \(30,350.8\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $23,528$ on 2020-06-18
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $23,351$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(1.22 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{59,571.4}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 114.4)}}\) (asimptote \(59,571.4\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $475$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(43.8 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{489.5}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 63.0)}}\) (asimptote \(489.5\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,094$ on 2020-06-18
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $24,645$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(1.72 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{29,596.8}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 71.5)}}\) (asimptote \(29,596.8\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $635$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(108 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{586.6}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 42.5)}}\) (asimptote \(586.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,717$ on 2020-06-18
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,739$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(173 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{24,404.0}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 97.9)}}\) (asimptote \(24,404.0\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $343$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(22.8 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{541.9}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 74.9)}}\) (asimptote \(541.9\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,217$ on 2020-06-18
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,868$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(91.3 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{20,446.0}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 85.7)}}\) (asimptote \(20,446.0\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $449$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(1.52 \times 10^{0.033t}\) (doubling rate \(9.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{674.1}{1 + 10^{-0.055 (t - 69.9)}}\) (asimptote \(674.1\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,129$ on 2020-06-18
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,200$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(135 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,210.0}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 69.5)}}\) (asimptote \(5,210.0\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $82$ on 2020-06-18
Best fit exponential: \(3.84 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{160.8}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 79.9)}}\) (asimptote \(160.8\))
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,883$ on 2020-06-18
